I think you missed one key element of the current AI hype--it is in the interests of the people creating these models to overinflate their capabilities in order to get funding. Like many VC based tech initiatives, there's an element of pump and dump that needs to be considered when analyzing all claims about what the tech can do.
I have a friend who worked in early-AI development who yells at the clouds that:
1 - AI isn't "intelligence" as that word is used to reference human beings; because
2 - Human intelligence is an evolved characteristic that is a byproduct of our interaction with our physical environment. Specifically, working with our hands and those wonderful ten digits to solve problems.
Every time I think that he might be wrong, I'm brought up short by something else I see or experience.
In sum, I don't think HAL is ever going to make the "jump" that AI enthusiasts claim or hope that it will. Worse yet, a lot of the hype sounds eerily similar to scams that have come before, particularly now that the Mil-Information-Censorship complex has started using terms like "cognitive infrastructure" to refer to the pesky habit of human beings to have diverse opinions and takeaways from identical everyday events. i.e. We can pull patterns and make connections from seemingly unrelated events that our minders would rather not have us make. I strongly suspect that AI will instead be used to explicitly - and authoritatively - DENY that such connections can be (allowed to be) made. Watch.
Artificial Intelligence. The term itself belies its true utility - human contrived; lacking in natural or spontaneous quality; imitation, sham; based on different morphological changes not necessarily indicative of natural relationships. Doesn't seem very intelligent or useful. Likely will make some people a lot of money especially in the entertainment industry.
An intelligence with no values won’t prejudicially discard “uninteresting” patterns. Humans can’t do this—every brain does multiple sorting passes for “relevance” on all information entering it before the information ever reaches the conscious centers of the brain. Careful thinkers can learn to not then do more prejudicial sorting during thinking, and some top-notch thinkers can sometimes can even retrain what their lower brains considers relevant, but nothing like this could or would ever approach the level of indiscriminate patternicity that a value-free computer might achieve.
I think you just described every good detective in both fiction and real life.
I think you missed one key element of the current AI hype--it is in the interests of the people creating these models to overinflate their capabilities in order to get funding. Like many VC based tech initiatives, there's an element of pump and dump that needs to be considered when analyzing all claims about what the tech can do.
I have a friend who worked in early-AI development who yells at the clouds that:
1 - AI isn't "intelligence" as that word is used to reference human beings; because
2 - Human intelligence is an evolved characteristic that is a byproduct of our interaction with our physical environment. Specifically, working with our hands and those wonderful ten digits to solve problems.
Every time I think that he might be wrong, I'm brought up short by something else I see or experience.
In sum, I don't think HAL is ever going to make the "jump" that AI enthusiasts claim or hope that it will. Worse yet, a lot of the hype sounds eerily similar to scams that have come before, particularly now that the Mil-Information-Censorship complex has started using terms like "cognitive infrastructure" to refer to the pesky habit of human beings to have diverse opinions and takeaways from identical everyday events. i.e. We can pull patterns and make connections from seemingly unrelated events that our minders would rather not have us make. I strongly suspect that AI will instead be used to explicitly - and authoritatively - DENY that such connections can be (allowed to be) made. Watch.
“I expect its most effective uses to emerge in the fields of astronomy, tyranny, and diagnostic medicine.”
Damn good writing.
Artificial Intelligence. The term itself belies its true utility - human contrived; lacking in natural or spontaneous quality; imitation, sham; based on different morphological changes not necessarily indicative of natural relationships. Doesn't seem very intelligent or useful. Likely will make some people a lot of money especially in the entertainment industry.
This quote:
An intelligence with no values won’t prejudicially discard “uninteresting” patterns. Humans can’t do this—every brain does multiple sorting passes for “relevance” on all information entering it before the information ever reaches the conscious centers of the brain. Careful thinkers can learn to not then do more prejudicial sorting during thinking, and some top-notch thinkers can sometimes can even retrain what their lower brains considers relevant, but nothing like this could or would ever approach the level of indiscriminate patternicity that a value-free computer might achieve.
I think you just described every good detective in both fiction and real life.